Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon1 - 2Newtown
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Caernarfon
Wednesday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Wednesday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Newtown 2-4 Flint Town
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
44.59% ( 0.16) | 24.44% ( 0.02) | 30.97% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% ( -0.15) | 44.54% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.09% ( -0.14) | 66.91% ( 0.14) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.9% ( 0.02) | 20.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.65% ( 0.02) | 52.36% ( -0.01) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.7% ( -0.18) | 27.3% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.25% ( -0.24) | 62.75% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 44.59%
Newtown AFC 30.97%
Draw 24.44%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.59% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.97% |
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-10-18 00:38:15
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 30 |
2 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 25 |
3 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 9 | 20 | 21 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 21 |
5 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 20 |
6 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 18 |
9 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 11 |
11 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 30 | -21 | 7 |
12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 5 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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