Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Oct 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints1 - 2Caernarfon
Smith (12')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (33'), Lloyd (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 New Saints
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 85.36%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
85.36% ( -1.18) | 9.27% ( 0.56) | 5.36% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( 2.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
