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Women's Champions League | Second Round | 1st Leg
Oct 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford

Man Utd Women
1 - 1
PSG

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Manchester United Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-2 Arsenal Women
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 PSG
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Manchester United Women 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain Women

Man United will be determined to make home advantage count in Tuesday's first leg, but we think that they will be frustrated and held to a draw by a PSG side that boasts a wealth of European experience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
32.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.45% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 42.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 58.83% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)43.9% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)66.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)25.9% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)60.88% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)20.61% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)53.16% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 32.71%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 42.83%
    Draw 24.44%
Manchester United WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.71%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 42.83%

How you voted: Man Utd Women vs PSG

Manchester United Women
58.8%
Draw
21.6%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
19.6%
51
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
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20Southampton2213181550-356


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