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Women's Champions League | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Oct 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre

PSG
3 - 1
Man Utd Women

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-1 PSG
Tuesday, October 10 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Paris Saint-Germain Women 2-1 Manchester United Women (PSG Women to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Man United will be desperate to reach the group stage in their first-ever Women's Champions League campaign, but we think that they could be edged out by a PSG side who have home advantage in their favour and can also draw upon a wealth of European experience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain Women would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawManchester United Women
34.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 26.6% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 39.16% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.07% (0.027999999999999 0.03)52.92% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.53% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.42% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (0.037999999999997 0.04)61.59% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 34.23%
    Manchester United Women 39.16%
    Draw 26.6%
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawManchester United Women
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.23%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.16%

How you voted: PSG vs Man Utd Women

Paris Saint-Germain Women
50.0%
Draw
18.2%
Manchester United Women
31.8%
22
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2023 8pm
Second Round 1st Leg
Man Utd Women
1-1
PSG
Malard (70')
Chawinga (53')
Bachmann (90')
rhs 2.0
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