Aston Villa2 - 4Man City
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
for
Sunday, January 19 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Aston Villa Women 1-2 Manchester City Women
Man City may have experienced a poor run of form in the WSL, but we still think that they should have the extra quality required to take three points from Saturday's contest, even though Villa have the ability to make it a tricky game for the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.99%) and 3-1 (4.93%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
40.17% ( -2.12) | 21.92% ( 0.15) | 37.91% ( 1.97) |
Both teams to score 69.67% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.74% ( -0.49) | 30.26% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.49% ( -0.59) | 51.5% ( 0.59) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.93% ( -1.01) | 16.07% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.55% ( -1.88) | 45.45% ( 1.88) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% ( 0.64) | 16.99% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.89% ( 1.12) | 47.11% ( -1.12) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.15) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.74% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 7.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.08) 3-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.34% Total : 37.91% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chelsea WomenChelsea | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 6 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Manchester United WomenMan Utd | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 27 |
3 | Manchester City WomenMan City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Arsenal WomenArsenal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 24 |
5 | Brighton & Hove Albion WomenBrighton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
6 | Tottenham Hotspur WomenSpurs | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 17 |
7 | Liverpool WomenLiverpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 12 |
8 | West Ham United WomenWest Ham | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
9 | Aston Villa WomenAston Villa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
10 | Everton WomenEverton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 10 |
11 | Leicester City WomenLeicester | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 |
12 | Crystal Palace WomenCrystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 5 |
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