MX23RW : Tuesday, November 12 21:52:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 3
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Broadfield Stadium

Brighton
4 - 2
Aston Villa

Parris (15'), Bremer (38'), Kirby (79' pen.), Agyemang (90+7')
Pattinson (77'), Agyemang (90+1')
Pattinson (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Daly (13', 55' pen.)
Robinson (90+1'), D’Angelo (90+1')
Tomas Serer (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 1-0 Brighton
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion Women 2-1 Aston Villa Women

Brighton produced a strong performance to beat Everton in their opening home game of the season, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to claim a narrow victory in Saturday's clash with Aston Villa. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawAston Villa Women
29.95% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 23.39% (-0.114 -0.11) 46.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 61.22% (0.47600000000001 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (0.606 0.61)40.16% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (0.621 0.62)62.53% (-0.616 -0.62)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (0.35600000000001 0.36)25.79% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26% (0.477 0.48)60.74% (-0.471 -0.47)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (0.252 0.25)17.5% (-0.245 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99% (0.433 0.43)48.01% (-0.427 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 29.95%
    Aston Villa Women 46.66%
    Draw 23.39%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 7.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.12% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.15% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.87% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.95%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.035 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 46.66%

Head to Head
May 4, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 21
Brighton
0-1
Aston Villa
Lehmann (64')
Hanson (45+2'), Maritz (60')
Dec 17, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
1-0
Brighton
Leon (63')
Pacheco (80'), Leon (87')
Pacheco (89')

Losada (36'), Symonds (40')
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Brighton
2-6
Aston Villa
Zigiotti-Olme (3'), Carter (49' pen.)
Staniforth (15'), Hanson (17'), Nobbs (23', 43', 69'), Daly (36')
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
1-1
Brighton
Green (33' og.)
Zigiotti-Olme (74')
Mar 5, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 16
Aston Villa
0-1
Brighton
Le Tissier (28')
Carter (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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