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Women's Super League | Gameweek 19
Apr 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea Women
3 - 0
Aston Villa

Beever-Jones (18'), Hamano (38'), Buchanan (64')
Ingle (61'), Lawrence (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Corsie (8'), Daly (45+4')
Leat (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Leicester Women
Saturday, March 30 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Aston Villa Women

Chelsea may have experienced disappointment in their last two cup games, but they are usually a tough team to beat on home turf, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to return to winning ways in Wednesday's clash with Aston Villa. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawAston Villa Women
67.32% (0.622 0.62) 17.82% (-0.269 -0.27) 14.86% (-0.351 -0.35)
Both teams to score 59.13% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.08% (0.56699999999999 0.57)32.92% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.37% (0.649 0.65)54.63% (-0.647 -0.65)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (0.295 0.3)9.02% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.28% (0.70099999999999 0.7)30.72% (-0.699 -0.7)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)35.01% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (-0.081 -0.08)71.75% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 67.32%
    Aston Villa Women 14.86%
    Draw 17.82%
Chelsea WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.69% (0.063 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 7.33% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.63% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.43% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.23% (0.077 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.078 0.08)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.96%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 7.97% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.82%
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 14.86%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Aston Villa

Chelsea Women
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Aston Villa Women
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
0-6
Chelsea Women

Patten (35')
Bright (21'), Kirby (26'), Rytting-Kaneryd (56'), Lawrence (63'), Beever-Jones (67'), Charles (73')
Apr 16, 2023 2.15pm
Apr 2, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 17
Aston Villa
0-3
Chelsea Women
Cankovic (22'), Reiten (43'), Kerr (56')
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 6
Chelsea Women
3-1
Aston Villa
James (22', 47'), Kerr (63')
Daly (38')
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 17
Chelsea Women
1-0
Aston Villa
Kerr (90+2')
Kerr (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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