Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 56%. A win for Reading Women had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.23%) and 0-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Reading Women win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.