MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 13:36:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 15
Mar 2, 2025 at 2pm UK
Brisbane Road

Spurs
1 - 2
Man City

England (32')
Spence (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miedema (11'), Fujino (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Tottenham Hotspur Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Spurs
Sunday, February 16 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Liverpool
Sunday, February 16 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

We said: Tottenham Hotspur Women 1-2 Manchester City Women

Man City may have experienced an inconsistent run of results before the international break, but we still believe that their extra quality will help them claim a narrow victory over a Tottenham side that have lost four of their last five competitive outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur Women had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur Women win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City Women in this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur WomenDrawManchester City Women
27.27% (0.269 0.27) 22.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 50.54% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 63.56% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)36.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.67% (0.012 0.01)58.32% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Tottenham Hotspur Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.187 0.19)25.54% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.258 0.26)60.4% (-0.27 -0.27)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.37% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)14.63% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.25% (-0.197 -0.2)42.74% (0.185 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur Women 27.27%
    Manchester City Women 50.54%
    Draw 22.18%
Tottenham Hotspur WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.1% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.48% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.58% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 27.27%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.9% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 6.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 50.54%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Man City
4-0
Spurs
Shaw (1', 15', 67'), Roord (66')

Turner (77')
Jan 28, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 12
Spurs
0-2
Man City

Summanen (45+1'), Ahtinen (70')
Turner (9' og.), Shaw (51')
Nov 26, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 8
Man City
7-0
Spurs
Shaw (23', 32', 38'), Hemp (48'), Roord (53'), Coombs (59', 90+6')
Angeldal (15'), Roord (27')

Bartrip (74')
Mar 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Man City
3-1
Spurs
Shaw (45+2', 47' pen., 83')
Ildhusoy (31')
Oct 22, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 5
Spurs
0-3
Man City
Shaw (41', 47'), Hemp (76')
rhs 2.0
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