World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2021 at 1am UK
Chile3 - 0Venezuela
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Venezuela |
| 55.85% | 21.99% | 22.16% |
| Both teams to score 58.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
