Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Peru had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
