Seychelles

0 - 5

Kenya

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 83.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 4.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.89%) and 0-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.