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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 31, 2020 at 12pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion

Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Kruger (2')
Gonther (41'), Riese (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Serra (9')
Muhling (13'), Thesker (43'), Meffert (90+2')
Neumann (15')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Holstein Kiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawHolstein Kiel
29.17%23.34%47.49%
Both teams to score 60.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61%40.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23%62.77%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59%26.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42%61.58%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73%17.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39%47.61%
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 29.17%
    Holstein Kiel 47.49%
    Draw 23.34%
Erzgebirge AueDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 7.1%
1-0 @ 6.07%
2-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-1 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.03%
1-3 @ 5.48%
0-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 3.65%
1-4 @ 2.41%
0-4 @ 1.81%
2-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 47.49%

Head to Head
Feb 16, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Erzgebirge Aue
1-2
Holstein Kiel
Nazarov (70')
Fandrich (22'), Riese (48'), Samson (77')
Ozcan (42'), Iyoha (63')
Thesker (67'), Iyoha (90')
Sep 1, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Holstein Kiel
1-1
Erzgebirge Aue
Jae-sung (73')
Jae-sung (35'), van den Bergh (42'), Ignjovski (94')
Hochscheidt (48')
Gonther (45'), Kalig (82'), Riese (92')
Mar 15, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Holstein Kiel
5-1
Erzgebirge Aue
Honsak (6'), Benes (9', 54'), Okugawa (75'), Seydel (85')
Okugawa (70')
Hochscheidt (26')
Strauss (13')
Oct 6, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 9
Erzgebirge Aue
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Iyoha (72'), Nazarov (90')
Rapp (81'), Kalig (90')
Muhling (41')
van den Bergh (58'), Herrmann (71'), Schindler (83')
Schindler (84')
Feb 17, 2018 12pm
Holstein Kiel
2-2
Erzgebirge Aue
Ducksch (12'), Drexler (25')
Heidinger (1')
Cacutalua (37', 38')
Kopke (68'), Fandrich (71')
rhs 2.0
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13Greuther Furth123451823-513
14Schalke 04Schalke123362124-312
15Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig123361424-1012
16Preussen Munster132561520-511
17SSV UlmUlm122461013-310
18Jahn RegensburgJahn12219532-277


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