Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wurzburger Kickers win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wurzburger Kickers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.