Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
