Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Werder Bremen in this match.