MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 17:19:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Jun 14, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
2 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue

Diamantakos (22'), Veerman (41')
Skiri Oestigaard (11'), Penney (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gonther (74')
Rasmussen (45+1'), Strauss (80')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 24.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawErzgebirge Aue
49.95%25.08%24.97%
Both teams to score 51.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96%51.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1%72.9%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55%20.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1%52.9%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81%35.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06%71.94%
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 49.95%
    Erzgebirge Aue 24.97%
    Draw 25.07%
St PauliDrawErzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 9.06%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 49.95%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.51%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 24.97%

Head to Head
Nov 22, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Erzgebirge Aue
3-1
St Pauli
Kruger (14'), Nazarov (24' pen.), Testroet (62')
Riese (55'), Fandrich (88')
Veerman (56')
Ohlsson (33')
Feb 16, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 22
St Pauli
1-2
Erzgebirge Aue
Buchtmann (10')
Avevor (76')
Hochscheidt (29', 49')
Kusic (6'), Cacutalua (20'), Wydra (38'), Zulechner (89')
Sep 16, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Erzgebirge Aue
3-1
St Pauli
Kempe (11'), Testroet (31'), Hochscheidt (75')
Kempe (66'), Rizzuto (77')
Veerman (16')
Buchtmann (79')
Apr 7, 2018 12pm
Erzgebirge Aue
2-1
St Pauli
Fandrich (25'), Kvesic (82' pen.)
Hertner (69'), Rizzuto (86')
Bouhaddouz (44')
Dudziak (38'), Buchtmann (56'), Buballa (81'), Bouhaddouz (90')
Oct 27, 2017 5.30pm
St Pauli
1-1
Erzgebirge Aue
Dudziak (33')
Buchtmann (88')
Kempe (70')
Wydra (15'), Kempe (87'), Rizzuto (89')
rhs 2.0
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