Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 8.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 3-0 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.