Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 1-0 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.