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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
May 31, 2021 at 10.05am UK
GMHBA Stadium
Macarthur

Western Utd
1 - 2
Macarthur

Guarrotxena (63')
Wales (39'), Hamill (42')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Susaeta (27'), Milligan (31')
Martis (9'), Ruhs (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Western United had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Macarthur in this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawMacarthur
37.19%23.99%38.82%
Both teams to score 61.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.18%40.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79%63.2%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02%21.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.72%55.28%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83%21.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96%54.03%
Score Analysis
    Western United 37.19%
    Macarthur 38.82%
    Draw 23.98%
Western UnitedDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 8.29%
1-0 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.19%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 4.65%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-1 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 38.82%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Macarthur

Western United
26.2%
Draw
13.8%
Macarthur
60.0%
65
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 6.05am
Gameweek 13
Macarthur
2-1
Western Utd
Derbyshire (35'), Susaeta (45+1')
Genreau (88'), Etxebarria (90+2')
Pierias (8')
Duzel (40')
Feb 20, 2021 6.05am
Gameweek 19
Western Utd
4-1
Macarthur
Guarrotxena (26'), Berisha (45', 66'), Pierias (54')
Lustica (20')
Derbyshire (90+1')
Susnjar (25'), Susaeta (68'), Hollman (74')
rhs 2.0
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30-23
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