Having shown their superior quality in the first leg, the Mariners will expect to get the job done on Saturday. While we feel that Sydney will give another good account of themselves, potentially with a share of the spoils, we are backing the home side to do what they need to do.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.