Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.