Australian A-League | Gameweek 15

Feb 4, 2023 at 6am UK

Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Sydney FC
3 - 2
Central Coast

le Fondre (10', 72'), Lolley (58')
Burgess (30')
Grant (19')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Cummings (20' pen., 33')
Hall (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-2 Sydney FC
Thursday, January 26 at 7.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, January 28 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sydney FC 1-1 Central Coast Mariners

When looking at the league table Central Coast Mariners seem like the obvious favourites, but their recent form and mixed performances away from home could make this a tricky test for them. Sydney FC will look to take advantage of that, and with some momentum from last weekend they could end up earning a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
47.03% ( 0.23)	23.11% ( 0.12)	29.86% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 62.19% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.14% (

-0.8)

38.86% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.82% (

-0.85)

61.17% (

0.84)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.14% (

-0.22)

16.86% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.12% (

-0.4)

46.87% (

0.39)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.8% (

-0.62)

25.2% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.06% (

-0.87)

59.93% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 47.03%

Central Coast Mariners 29.86%

Draw 23.1%

Sydney FC	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.24% Total : 47.03%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.1%	1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.86%