Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 60.54%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 20.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
60.54% (![]() | 18.54% (![]() | 20.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 69.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.69% (![]() | 25.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.67% (![]() | 45.33% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.59% (![]() | 8.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.78% (![]() | 29.22% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.92% (![]() | 24.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.63% (![]() | 58.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 8.84% (![]() 3-1 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 4.13% Total : 60.54% | 1-1 @ 7.14% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.63% Total : 18.54% | 1-2 @ 5.08% (![]() 2-3 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.47% Total : 20.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |