Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.