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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 28, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Central Coast
2 - 2
Western Sydney

Silvera (30'), Cummings (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ngbakoto (35'), Borrello (60')
Cleur (45+2'), Traore (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Central Coast
Sunday, January 22 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, January 22 at 4am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers

After only registering one victory in their last five matches, we forecast Western Sydney Wanderers will have to wait another week to attempt to improve that record, with Central Coast Mariners coming out on top on Saturday morning. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
44.25% (0.14700000000001 0.15) 24.21% (-0.067 -0.07) 31.54% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.2% (0.201 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (0.279 0.28)43.19% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (0.274 0.27)65.59% (-0.271 -0.27)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (0.17800000000001 0.18)19.7% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3% (0.287 0.29)51.7% (-0.285 -0.28)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (0.088000000000008 0.09)26.28% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (0.11499999999999 0.11)61.4% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 44.25%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 31.54%
    Draw 24.2%
Central Coast MarinersDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 31.54%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Western Sydney

Central Coast Mariners
72.2%
Draw
22.2%
Western Sydney Wanderers
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 8.45am
Western Sydney
0-3
Central Coast

Traore (1')
Ruhs (66', 72'), Silvera (81')
Apr 13, 2022 10.05am
Western Sydney
2-2
Central Coast
Rowles (41' og.), Petratos (54')
Baccus (56'), Traore (58'), Troisi (77')
N'Kololo (64' pen.), Hall (90+5')
Kuol (84')
Miller (48')
Dec 18, 2021 6.05am
Central Coast
2-0
Western Sydney
Goddard (59'), Bozanic (90+7')
Steele (10'), Miller (69'), Bozanic (90+8')

Antonis (19'), Williams (56'), Koutroumbis (90+1')
Apr 6, 2021 10.05am
Western Sydney
2-2
Central Coast
Kamau (74', 78')
Simon (22'), Bozanic (83' pen.)
Tongyik (27')
Jan 19, 2021 8.05am
rhs 2.0
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