Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
50.87% | 22.71% | 26.41% |
Both teams to score 60.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.53% | 39.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.18% | 61.81% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.3% | 15.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.24% | 44.75% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% | 27.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% | 63.46% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 5.92% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.73% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-1 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.69% Total : 26.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |