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Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Mar 12, 2021 at 8.05am UK
AAMI Park
Macarthur

Melbourne City
3 - 0
Macarthur

MacLaren (23', 25'), Noone (35')
Noone (20'), Berenguer (61'), Jamieson (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawMacarthur
47.31%22.57%30.11%
Both teams to score 64.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88%36.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.77%58.23%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29%15.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21%44.79%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31%23.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2%57.8%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 47.31%
    Macarthur 30.11%
    Draw 22.57%
Melbourne CityDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.18%
1-0 @ 6.89%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-2 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3.93%
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-2 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 0.97%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3%
Total : 47.31%
1-1 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 6.61%
0-0 @ 3.72%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-1 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.11%

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