Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Jul 17, 2020 at 10.30am UK

Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney

Sydney FC
3 - 1
Wellington

le Fondre (76' pen.), Buhagiar (88', 90')
Baumjohann (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Piscopo (66' pen.)
Rufer (38'), Sotirio (62')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
50.2%	22.32%	27.47%

Both teams to score 63.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.28%

36.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.12%

58.88%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.07%

14.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.68%

43.31%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33%

25.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42%

60.58%

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 50.2%

Wellington Phoenix 27.48%

Draw 22.32%

Sydney FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 5.98% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 4.06% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.93% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.17% Total : 50.2%	1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 6.41% 0-0 @ 3.83% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.32%	1-2 @ 6.74% 0-1 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 1.61% 1-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.4% Total : 27.48%