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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Jul 17, 2020 at 10.30am UK
Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney
Wellington Phoenix

Sydney FC
3 - 1
Wellington

le Fondre (76' pen.), Buhagiar (88', 90')
Baumjohann (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Piscopo (66' pen.)
Rufer (38'), Sotirio (62')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
50.2%22.32%27.47%
Both teams to score 63.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.28%36.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.12%58.88%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07%14.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.68%43.31%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 50.2%
    Wellington Phoenix 27.48%
    Draw 22.32%
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 7.29%
2-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 4.06%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.93%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 3.83%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.91%
0-3 @ 1.61%
1-4 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 27.48%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2019 3.45am
Gameweek 11
Wellington
2-2
Sydney FC
Piscopo (25'), Davila (37')
DeVere (91')
Le Fondre (14'), Taylor (56' og.)
Caceres (45'), Grant (50'), Brattan (67')
Oct 20, 2019 8am
Gameweek 2
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
O'Neill (17'), Grant (77')
O'Neill (51'), Retre (84'), Caceres (92')
Davila (69')
Steinmann (37'), Piscopo (89')
Cacace (81')
Feb 23, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 20
Wellington
0-1
Sydney FC

Durante (14'), Lowry (78'), Rufer (94')
Le Fondre (65' pen.)
Le Fondre (79'), Brosque (86'), O'Neill (86')
Jan 23, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 15
Wellington
0-1
Sydney FC

Sheridan (32')
De Jong (25')
Ninkovic (45'), O'Neill (63'), Zullo (84')
Dec 8, 2018 6.35am
Gameweek 7
Sydney FC
1-3
Wellington
Zullo (89')
Brillante (40'), Brosque (41'), Zullo (61')
Krishna (21', 30'), Taylor (38')
rhs 2.0
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