Western Sydney3 - 2Newcastle Jets
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 43.51% | 24.51% | 31.97% |
| Both teams to score 58.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% | 44.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% | 66.82% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% | 20.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.95% | 53.04% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% | 26.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.15% | 61.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.51% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-1 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.97% |
