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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 16, 2022 at 10.45am UK
Hunter Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Victory

Siatravanis (65')
Elsey (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
D'Agostino (6'), Margiotta (90+3')
Folami (58')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
47.19%24.41%28.39%
Both teams to score 56.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.22%45.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.9%68.09%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5%19.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.63%51.37%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31%29.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.26%65.74%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 47.19%
    Melbourne Victory 28.39%
    Draw 24.41%
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 47.19%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 5.79%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7.03%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 28.39%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 8.45am
Victory
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Brimmer (45+2')
Brillante (28'), Velupillay (86')
Brillante (48')
Yuel (57'), Mikeltadze (70' pen.)
Elsey (5'), Mikeltadze (21')
Apr 10, 2021 6.05am
Feb 21, 2021 5.05am
Feb 22, 2020 8.30am
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Victory
Toivonen (49')
Toivonen (60'), Lesiotis (90')
Jan 5, 2020 7.30am
Victory
4-0
Newcastle Jets
Kruse (9'), Basha (61'), Nabbout (64'), Millar (86' og.)

Burns (24')
rhs 2.0
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Steelers
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