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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 16, 2022 at 10.45am UK
Hunter Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Victory

Siatravanis (65')
Elsey (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
D'Agostino (6'), Margiotta (90+3')
Folami (58')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

Last Six:
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

Last Six:
Last Game: Victory 1-4 Western Utd
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
47.19%24.41%28.39%
Both teams to score 56.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.22%45.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.9%68.09%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5%19.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.63%51.37%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31%29.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.26%65.74%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 47.19%
    Melbourne Victory 28.39%
    Draw 24.41%
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 47.19%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 5.79%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7.03%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 28.39%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 8.45am
Victory
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Brimmer (45+2')
Brillante (28'), Velupillay (86')
Brillante (48')
Yuel (57'), Mikeltadze (70' pen.)
Elsey (5'), Mikeltadze (21')
Apr 10, 2021 6.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Victory
Stamatelopoulos (18')
Thurgate (66'), Abimanyu (90+3')
Ryan (48'), Brooks (79')
Butterfield (63'), Lawrie-Lattanzio (81'), Lauton (90+1')
Feb 21, 2021 5.05am
Victory
0-1
Newcastle Jets

Roux (29')
Thurgate (72')
Boogaard (41'), Thurgate (56'), Millar (86')
Feb 22, 2020 8.30am
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Victory
O'Donovan (24')
Topor-Stanley (72')
Toivonen (49')
Toivonen (60'), Lesiotis (90')
Jan 5, 2020 7.30am
Victory
4-0
Newcastle Jets
Kruse (9'), Basha (61'), Nabbout (64'), Millar (86' og.)

Burns (24')
rhs 2.0
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