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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
May 7, 2022 at 10.45am UK
Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford
Newcastle Jets

Central Coast
2 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Cummings (30'), N'Kololo (62')
Balard (49'), Urena (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Regan (8')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawNewcastle Jets
44.07%24.41%31.53%
Both teams to score 58.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.86%44.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.48%66.52%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84%20.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55%52.45%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25%26.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98%62.02%
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 44.07%
    Newcastle Jets 31.53%
    Draw 24.4%
Central Coast MarinersDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 44.07%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-1 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 10.45am
Newcastle Jets
2-4
Central Coast
Mauragis (46'), Farrell (50' og.)
Jurman (22'), Elsey (55'), Penha (90+4')
Penha (90+6')
Moresche (19'), Cummings (30', 34'), Kuol (90+1')
Miller (69'), Birighitti (90+1')
Nov 21, 2021 5.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Central Coast
Yuel (78')
Penha (32')
Nisbet (50'), Farrell (57')
N'Kololo (21'), Farrell (49'), Birighitti (90+3')
Jun 1, 2021 10.05am
Central Coast
0-2
Newcastle Jets

Stensness (62')
O'Donovan (27'), Mauragis (33')
Mauragis (60'), Hoffman (85'), Topor-Stanley (86'), O'Doherty (88')
May 15, 2021 10.10am
Newcastle Jets
0-1
Central Coast

Yuel (84'), O'Donovan (88'), Krasniqi (88')
Simon (54' pen.)
Tongyik (16'), Stensness (45+1'), Kuol (90+5')
Dec 31, 2020 8.05am
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