Australian A-League | Gameweek 10

May 7, 2022 at 10.45am UK

Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford

Central Coast
2 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Cummings (30'), N'Kololo (62')
Balard (49'), Urena (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Regan (8')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Newcastle Jets
44.07%	24.41%	31.53%

Both teams to score 58.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.86%

44.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.48%

66.52%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.84%

20.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.55%

52.45%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25%

26.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98%

62.02%

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 44.07%

Newcastle Jets 31.53%

Draw 24.4%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.07%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.4%	1-2 @ 7.51% 0-1 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.53%