Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.