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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 28, 2023 at 9.45am UK
Spotless Stadium
Western United

Western Sydney
5 - 0
Western Utd

Brook (6', 13'), Milanovic (34', 45+3'), Marcelo (39')
Clisby (53')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Penha (67'), Risdon (86')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 0-0 Wellington
Sunday, October 22 at 5am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-2 Western Utd
Saturday, October 21 at 7.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawWestern United
42.41% (-0.439 -0.44) 23.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 33.63% (0.431 0.43)
Both teams to score 60.95% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.74% (0.080000000000005 0.08)41.26% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (0.080999999999996 0.08)63.65% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-0.158 -0.16)19.7% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-0.259 -0.26)51.7% (0.259 0.26)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.282 0.28)24.1% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (0.40499999999999 0.4)58.38% (-0.404 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 42.41%
    Western United 33.63%
    Draw 23.95%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.062 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.76% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.63%

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