Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2023 at 10.45am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City3 - 2Western Sydney
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Utd 1-3 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 22 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, April 22 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
58
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-0 Wellington
Friday, April 21 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, April 21 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
We said: Melbourne City 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers
This is set to be a closely contested game between two of the strongest teams in the division, but after winning the main league it is likely Melbourne City that will continue taking their momentum into the finals series. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 1-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Western Sydney Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
57.4% ( 1.21) | 21.31% ( -0.34) | 21.29% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
