We said: Sydney FC 0-1 Western United
Sydney have been in very poor form of late, failing to score in their last two games, while they have also struggled at home all season, with no side collecting fewer points on their own patch.
Considering Western United have been impressive on their travels recently, winning two of their last three matches, we think they could cause an upset and come away with a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.