Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
43.21% ( 1.11) | 23.81% ( 0.13) | 32.97% ( -1.25) |
Both teams to score 61.23% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.2% ( -1.02) | 40.79% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.82% ( -1.05) | 63.18% ( 1.05) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.83% ( 0.06) | 19.16% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.17% ( 0.1) | 50.82% ( -0.1) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% ( -1.19) | 24.25% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.39% ( -1.71) | 58.61% ( 1.7) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.32% Total : 43.21% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 21 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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