Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Western United had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 1-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
53.5% (![]() | 21.31% (![]() | 25.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.14% (![]() | 33.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.29% (![]() | 55.71% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% (![]() | 12.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.72% (![]() | 39.27% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% (![]() | 25.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.29% (![]() | 60.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.45% (![]() 2-0 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 9.22% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 6.25% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |