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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 18, 2022 at 4am UK
Whitten Oval
Western Sydney Wanderers

Western Utd
1 - 0
Western Sydney

Prijovic (5')
Imai (55'), Milanovic (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mrcela (33'), Cleur (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-1 Western Utd
Saturday, December 10 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, December 10 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Western United 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers

Sydney seem to be on the right track, but the season is still relatively early, plus, they have not shown much quality in the attacking third to date. We expect the club from Melbourne, who have been better in recent outings, to dictate the play and have their share of possession, but still leaving plenty of gaps which the visitors could expose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
39.05% (-0.453 -0.45) 24.33% (-0.218 -0.22) 36.62% (0.676 0.68)
Both teams to score 60.17% (0.875 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (1.103 1.1)42.54% (-1.098 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06% (1.091 1.09)64.94% (-1.087 -1.09)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (0.262 0.26)21.81% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97% (0.393 0.39)55.03% (-0.389 -0.39)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (0.86799999999999 0.87)23.05% (-0.863 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (1.256 1.26)56.87% (-1.252 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Western United 39.05%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 36.62%
    Draw 24.33%
Western UnitedDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.318 -0.32)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.072 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.088 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.074 0.07)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 36.62%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Western Sydney

Western United
25.0%
Draw
21.4%
Western Sydney Wanderers
53.6%
28
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 7.45am
Western Utd
3-2
Western Sydney
Prijovic (27'), Garuccio (45+2', 68')
Lacroix (55')
Hemed (51' pen.), Ugarkovic (86')
Traore (33'), Hemed (47'), Cancar (53')
Feb 5, 2022 6.05am
May 8, 2021 10.10am
Western Sydney
5-0
Western Utd
Troisi (19'), Gordon (36'), Kamau (57'), Pierias (66' og.), Ibini-Isei (90')
Mutch (48')

Uskok (43'), Imai (65')
Mar 7, 2021 7.10am
Western Utd
0-1
Western Sydney

Lustica (40'), Pierias (66')
Mutch (57')
Natta (45+1'), Mutch (65'), Dorrans (90+2'), Cox (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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