Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Tractor Sazi had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Tractor Sazi win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match.
