AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Apr 21, 2022 at 10am UK

Big Crown

Ulsan
3 - 0
Guangzhou

Koszta (28'), Chu-Young (57'), Yun (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ulsan Hyundai and Guangzhou.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ulsan Hyundai

Last Game: Johor Darul 2-1 Ulsan
Saturday, April 30 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Guangzhou

Last Six:

Last Game: Wuhan Three Towns 6-0 Guangzhou
Tuesday, June 7 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Next Game: Guangzhou vs. Wuhan
Saturday, June 11 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Guangzhou City	2	-5	0
17	Hebei	2	-5	0
18	Guangzhou	2	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
Ulsan Hyundai	Draw	Guangzhou
51.46%	23.12%	25.42%

Both teams to score 58.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.75%

42.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.35%

64.65%

Ulsan Hyundai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.5%

16.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.77%

46.22%

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92%

30.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78%

66.22%

Score Analysis

Ulsan Hyundai 51.46%

Guangzhou 25.42%

Draw 23.12%

Ulsan Hyundai	Draw	Guangzhou
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 5.81% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.46%	1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 6.45% 0-1 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.58% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.08% Total : 25.42%