Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK

Angola
1 - 1
Ghana

Joao (51' pen.)
Gelson (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bukari (72')
Addo (58'), Mensah (58'), Ayew (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Angola and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Angola
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

Ghana

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Angola
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	South Korea	3	0	4
3	Uruguay	3	0	4
4	Ghana	3	-2	3

There was little to choose between Angola and Ghana last time out, and another tight affair is on the cards here. We are anticipating an open and entertaining affair with the teams nullifying each other, giving rise to a share of the spoils at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for Angola had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Angola win was 1-0 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Angola	Draw	Ghana
34.03% ( -0.07)	29.82% ( -0.09)	36.15% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 42.57% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.43% (

0.26)

64.57% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.41% (

0.18)

83.59% (

-0.19)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53% (

0.1)

35.46% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

0.1)

72.23% (

-0.1)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.97% (

0.24)

34.03% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.29% (

0.26)

70.71% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Angola 34.02%

Ghana 36.14%

Draw 29.81%

Angola	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 34.02%	1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.81%	0-1 @ 13% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.14%