Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uganda.
-0.27) 
0.19) 
