Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stade de la Reunification
Uganda0 - 2South Africa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Sudan 1-2 Uganda
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Last Game: Congo 1-1 South Africa
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: Uganda 1-1 South Africa
While South Africa have the better team on paper, they are missing several key players for this month's matches, particularly in the attacking areas, and we feel that Uganda will be able to get something from this match and secure their qualification in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Uganda win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | South Africa |
28.24% ( 0.08) | 27.84% ( 0.04) | 43.92% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.1% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
