MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 16:32:24| >> :60:698:698:
Uganda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Mandela National Stadium
South Africa national football team

Uganda
vs.
South Africa

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 1-2 Uganda
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 1-1 South Africa
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We say: Uganda 1-1 South Africa

While South Africa have the better team on paper, they are missing several key players for this month's matches, particularly in the attacking areas, and we feel that Uganda will be able to get something from this match and secure their qualification in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Uganda has a probability of 28.16% and a draw has a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Uganda win is 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.97%).

Result
UgandaDrawSouth Africa
28.16% (-0.183 -0.18) 27.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 44.04% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 46.16% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.75% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)59.25% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.34% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)79.66% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.02% (-0.182 -0.18)36.98% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23% (-0.185 -0.18)73.77% (0.185 0.19)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.066999999999993 0.07)26.75% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (0.089999999999996 0.09)62.02% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 28.16%
    South Africa 44.04%
    Draw 27.79%
UgandaDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.9% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 28.16%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.89% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 13.04% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.6% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 44.04%

Who will win Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and South Africa?

Uganda
Draw
South Africa
Uganda
17.6%
Draw
47.1%
South Africa
35.3%
17
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
South Africa
2-2
Uganda
Foster (14'), Mbatha (90+5')
Ngezana (9'), Mudau (45+3'), Foster (88')
Omedi (51'), Mato (54')
Kayondo (59'), Ojera (90')
Jun 10, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 1
South Africa
3-2
Uganda
Makgopa (62', 83'), Hlongwane (67')
Orit (17'), Abdu (89')
Lwanga (42'), Willa (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!