MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:33:34| >> :600:423026:423026:
Egypt national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Malawi national football team

Egypt
2 - 0
Malawi

Salah (20'), Marmoush (45+1')
Hamed (68'), Abdelmonem (77'), Hegazy (79'), Kahraba (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Davie (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Egypt and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 Egypt
Friday, November 18 at 3pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Bangladesh 1-1 Malawi
Wednesday, March 15 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Egypt 2-0 Malawi

Even overlooking their home advantage, Egypt head into the weekend on a fine run of form, giving them an extra edge. Malawi must pull one out of the hat if they hope to cause an upset, but we see the hosts prevailing in what should be a thrilling affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 67.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.45%) and 3-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.56%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Egypt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
EgyptDrawMalawi
67.71% (-0.562 -0.56) 21.61% (0.329 0.33) 10.68% (0.232 0.23)
Both teams to score 35.27% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (-0.593 -0.59)58.34% (0.592 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (-0.467 -0.47)78.96% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (-0.395 -0.39)16.56% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.66% (-0.714 -0.71)46.34% (0.713 0.71)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.27% (0.091999999999999 0.09)57.72% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)89.44% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 67.7%
    Malawi 10.68%
    Draw 21.61%
EgyptDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 17.18% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 15.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 9.26% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.16% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 67.7%
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.213 0.21)
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.61%
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 2.6% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 10.68%

How you voted: Egypt vs Malawi

Egypt
84.8%
Draw
4.3%
Malawi
10.9%
46
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!