MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 17:31:18| >> :600:1429081:1429081:
Ethiopia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Egypt national football team

Ethiopia
2 - 0
Egypt

Hotessa (21'), Bekele (39')
Panomo (24'), Debebe (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mostafa Lasheen (56'), Kamal (75'), (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ethiopia and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Guinea vs. Ethiopia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Six:
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: South Korea vs. Egypt
Tuesday, June 14 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt

While Ethiopia will be looking to snap their winless run and get their qualification campaign up and running, next up is the challenge of facing a rampant Egypt side who have won seven of their last eight games. Given the gulf in class and quality between the sides, we are tipping Egypt to cruise to all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.61%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.32%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
EthiopiaDrawEgypt
19.63% (0.0039999999999978 0) 27.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 52.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 38.35% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.87% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.02% (0.016000000000002 0.02)83.98% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)48.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)83.7% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.012 0.01)25.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.015999999999998 0.02)60.12% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 19.63%
    Egypt 52.47%
    Draw 27.88%
EthiopiaDrawEgypt
1-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-1 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.2%
3-1 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.63%
0-0 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 12.19%
2-2 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 16.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.61%
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 3.83% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-4 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 52.47%

How you voted: Ethiopia vs Egypt

Ethiopia
10.0%
Draw
10.0%
Egypt
80.0%
30
rhs 2.0
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