Buoyed by their comfortable victory over Niger, Egypt will head into Tuesday full of confidence as they look to wrap up their September friendlies in style. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides and considering the Pharaoh's superb home form, we are backing Vitoria's men to ease to another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Egypt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Liberia
64.27% ( 0.18)	21.69% ( -0.05)	14.04% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 43.85% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.03% (

-0.06)

51.97% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29% (

-0.05)

73.71% (

0.05)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.47% (

0.04)

15.52% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.55% (

0.08)

44.44% (

-0.08)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.91% (

-0.24)

48.08% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.71% (

-0.18)

83.29% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Egypt 64.26%

Liberia 14.04%

Draw 21.69%

Egypt	Draw	Liberia
1-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 64.26%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.69%	0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 14.04%