We said: Guinea 1-0 Tanzania
Guinea's form has taken a hit over the last couple of matches, but they still possess more than enough quality to see off Tanzania.
While we expect the visitors to put up a good fight, we are backing the hosts to come out on top at the sound of the full-time whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 69.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 9.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.39%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.24%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.