MX23RW : Thursday, March 20 13:10:39| >> :120:20240:20240:
Guinea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
Mozambique national football team

Guinea
0 - 1
Mozambique

FT(HT: 0-0)
Catamo (90+3' pen.)
Amade (63'), Miguel Neves Santos (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Guinea and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 1-2 Guinea
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 2-1 Somalia
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Guinea 2-1 Mozambique

There is little to choose between the sides and Monday's encounter could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
GuineaDrawMozambique
66.97% (-0.366 -0.37) 20.54% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 12.49% (0.326 0.33)
Both teams to score 43.14% (0.817 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (0.573 0.57)50.61% (-0.576 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (0.503 0.5)72.52% (-0.506 -0.51)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (0.067999999999998 0.07)14.22% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.04% (0.135 0.13)41.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.29% (0.911 0.91)49.71% (-0.913 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.54% (0.628 0.63)84.45% (-0.63000000000001 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 66.96%
    Mozambique 12.49%
    Draw 20.54%
GuineaDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 13.78% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 13.44% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 8.74% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.078 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 66.96%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.29% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 20.54%
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.37% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 12.49%

How you voted: Guinea vs Mozambique

Guinea
76.1%
Draw
13.0%
Mozambique
10.9%
46
rhs 2.0
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