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Africa Cup of Nations
Libya national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 1, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Botswana national football team

Libya
1 - 0
Botswana

Taher (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Phoko (39'), Gaolaolwe (53'), Kebue (61'), Ditlhokwe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Libya and Botswana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Libya

Last Six:
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Libya
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Tunisia vs. Libya
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 0-0 Tunisia
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Eq Guinea vs. Botswana
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Libya 1-1 Botswana

 10 months since they last took the pitch, Botswana take on a Libya side who are unbeaten in three of their last four games on home turf. However, both sides head into the game evenly matched on paper and we predict they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Libya in this match.

Result
LibyaDrawBotswana
51.71%25.92%22.36%
Both teams to score 46.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.54%56.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.54%77.45%
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1%21.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84%55.16%
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39%40.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79%77.21%
Score Analysis
    Libya 51.7%
    Botswana 22.36%
    Draw 25.92%
LibyaDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 13.5%
2-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 51.7%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.01%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.25%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 22.36%

How you voted: Libya vs Botswana

Libya
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
Botswana
25.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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