Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Tunisia3 - 0Libya
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tunisia 1-0 France
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Denmark | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: Libya 3-1 Ethiopia
Saturday, January 21 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Saturday, January 21 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Tunisia 2-0 Libya
Tunisia's defensive nous, especially on home turf, means that Libya are set to have a hard time finding the back of the net in this one. We are tipping the hosts to have little problem cruising past their visitors and coming away with all three points in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 69.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Libya had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.79%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.62%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Libya |
69.65% ( 0.04) | 21.36% ( 0) | 8.99% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 30.84% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
